Delayed blogging the US Election

Watched the results coming in intermittantly last night. There were no particular surprises, if you read Nate Silver's blog;

The one statistic I found particularly interesting was the turnout amongst registered 'members' (quotes explained below) of political parties - turnout amongst registered democrats was higher, again. This could mean two things:

1) As in 2008 Republicans were not that excited about their candidate - although as in 2008 they had a VP they could, presumably - if the steriotype holds - get excited about.
or..
2) Republicans didn't care enough about the issues they were supposedly fighting for in this election: i.e. the deficit and repealing the healthcare law

If the former was the case you would expect to see fairly low levels of turnout amongst self-identified 'conservatives', you do - although it is higher than 2008 (35% to 34%); once I find the similar figure for self-identified liberals I will post it.

Interestingly, this all seems to play out with the figures from the "Voters most concerned about" measures - those concerned most about healthcare (which was only 18%) voted overwhelmingly (75%) for Obama. Those most concerned about the deficit voted 65% for Romney, but only made up 15% of the electorate.

So what can perhaps be said is that Obama is more aware of the interests of his base, and perhaps Republicans have missed what a portion of their electorate care about.

Location:Turkey

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